Bitcoin's Next Chapter: Adapting to Global Economic Realities

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You’ve probably heard it a million times: Bitcoin halving = price boom.

Historically? Yeah, that's been true. Let’s look at the past:

• In 2012, Bitcoin’s price shot from $12 to over $1,000 within a year after the first halving.

• In 2016, Bitcoin jumped from $650 to almost $20,000 by late 2017.

• In 2020, Bitcoin rallied from around $9,000 to a record $69,000 by 2021.

Classic halving play: cut the supply, create scarcity, and watch the price pump.

The reduced supply has always driven massive gains. After the last two halvings, prices jumped 51% and 83% in the next six months. But let’s not get stuck in the past.

2024 is a different beast. The supply shock is still there, but global economics are muddying the waters. Inflation, rising interest rates, and central bank policies are messing with Bitcoin’s usual playbook.

In 2022, for example, Bitcoin tanked over 50% from its all-time high, not because of Bitcoin fundamentals, but because the whole world was drowning in inflation (hello, 9.1% U.S. inflation), and central banks were hiking rates left and right to cool things down.

Mark Jeftovic nails it when he says global economic conditions greatly influence Bitcoin’s price. It’s not a simple halving = pump anymore. Bitcoin is part of a much bigger picture now, savvy investors are looking at the bigger stage, the world economy.

Those who focus too much on the halving and ignore the larger forces at play might get left behind.

If you’ve been around Bitcoin for a while, you know it used to be the retail crowd running the show. But now the big dogs are here. Institutional investors are making waves, and it’s not just a quick dip, they’re here to stay. This shift is a game-changer for Bitcoin’s reputation.

Mark Jeftovic highlights that "the real story is the influx of institutional capital," shifting Bitcoin’s role in the financial system. It's no longer just a speculative asset for quick gains but is becoming a legitimate store of value.

Major firms like BlackRock, Fidelity, and MicroStrategy hold over 1.24 million BTC (6.29% of circulating supply), this long-term bet is reducing Bitcoin’s historical volatility and transforming it into a hedge against economic uncertainty.

Bitcoin ETFs have attracted billions, and ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF hit $1 billion in assets within two days. This isn’t just luck, institutions are now calling the shots, and Bitcoin’s volatility is easing. The wild price swings we used to see might be a thing of the past as Bitcoin matures into the role of digital gold, becoming a hedge against uncertainty in an increasingly unstable economic world.

As institutional players continue to pump capital into Bitcoin, expect its role in the financial system to grow.

Governments and central banks can’t stop printing money or messing with interest rates. Meanwhile, inflation is eating into fiat currencies, especially in hyperinflationary economies like Argentina (200% inflation in 2023).

But Bitcoin? It’s immune to all that chaos.

Mark Jeftovic notes, “Bitcoin stands out as one of the few assets immune to government manipulation.” It’s decentralized, has a fixed supply, and is immune to inflation.

Global adoption surpassed 560 million crypto users in 2024, showing Bitcoin’s growing role as a lifeline in unstable economies. While nations like Argentina embrace Bitcoin as an escape from their failing currencies, others may try to regulate or restrict it to protect their fiat systems.

The takeaway?

Bitcoin isn’t just a hedge against inflation. It’s becoming a geopolitical force as nations choose between adopting or regulating it.

Tech is advancing faster than anyone can keep up with, and society’s pushing hard for change. The problem? There’s often a massive gap between what people want and how fast we can get there, especially when governments are involved.

Mark shares that "the gap between intent and practical implementation may widen," especially regarding government transparency and adapting to technological disruption. We see this in how governments struggle to regulate cryptocurrencies, with around 40% of Americans already owning crypto, indicating a significant and growing user base that regulators need to consider.

The challenge for governments will be staying relevant in a world where technology is evolving faster than their ability to legislate. Bitcoin is a prime example of this, an asset born from technological innovation that is challenging the traditional financial system.

As tech continues to outpace regulation, it will be interesting to see how governments try to keep up and what that means for the future of Bitcoin.

Canadian politics are heating up, and the 2025 election is set to be a pivotal moment for the country and crypto. Mark Jeftovic predicts a significant shakeup, with the Conservative Party poised for a blowout victory and current Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stepping down before the election.

"I’m calling for the Liberal Party to lose their status," Mark says, adding that Trudeau’s leadership has been marked by avoidance and reluctance to confront key issues. He points to moments like the Freedom Convoy protests, where Trudeau’s absence was glaring.

The potential shift in power could significantly change Canada’s political landscape, especially if someone like Mark Carney replaces Trudeau, as some speculate. For Canadians, this election could signal the end of an era and the start of something completely new.

Things are about to get wild.